INTERNATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL & GEOPOLITICAL RISK ANALYSES
(see the risks)
Research Paper - Is Syndicate Size Important?
Association of Lloyd's Members' Conference Proceedings
International Risk - a predictive model 1
2
Lloyd's Since Betsy - a predictive model (correlation)
Loss Scenarios - Mean PMLs (1994)
U.S. Earthquakes and Hurricanes (Intensity Predictive Mode
l)
Risk Weighting in the Value Report - Factors governing solvency
Environmental Catastrophe Project (pdf files)
Part 1 The Hazards:
Seismic (1.88 Mb)
Atmospheric (504k)
Part 2 Financial Impact
Seismic (373k)
Seismic plates (355k)
U.S. Quake & Hurricane Risk
The PML Model
Attenuation Factors used in intensity modelling
Los Angeles and Mercalli intensity predictions
Predictive Flow diagram
Eastern U.S. Seismicity
Hurricanes (146k)
Part 3 Political Risk:
To come..